Methodology

National outcome grids

The free check compares your GPA and MCAT against the AAMC's Table A-23, the official grid of applicants and acceptees to U.S. MD programs aggregated across the 2021-22 through 2023-24 cycles: 165,310 applicant outcomes in total. Rates in that table mean acceptance to at least one U.S. MD school.

DO figures come from the AACOM (AACOMAS) grid for 2018-19 through 2020-21. One honest caveat we refuse to paper over: AACOM publishes matriculation rates, not offer rates, so DO cells describe who enrolled rather than who was accepted. Where that distinction matters, the interface says so.

Per-school data

198 schools: 158 MD and 40 DO programs across 48 states, 31,643 first-year seats. GPA and MCAT medians come from published 2025-26 cycle aggregates; schools in our verified set have been individually checked against their own published class profiles. Where a school publishes only an average, the 25th-75th percentile range is estimated by formula and the school's source note says exactly that.

We do not use MSAR data. MSAR is a paid AAMC product whose terms prohibit reuse in other products, so every per-school figure here comes from what schools and agencies publish openly. That costs us some precision and buys the site its independence.

Selection criteria, read by hand

For all 198 schools we read the school's own published mission statement and selection-criteria pages and wrote a structured profile: what the school says it weighs, the applicant it describes wanting, and the most common mismatch. That is 351 source citations across 226 distinct official domains and roughly 21,400 words of per-school analysis, completed August 2, 2026.

The per-school weightings are our reading of those published criteria, not an official formula; no school releases exact weights. Where a school publishes no differential emphasis, its entry records stated mission emphasis and says so. Where a school's own pages were unreachable and an entry leans partly on secondary admissions sources, its source note flags that individually.

Research funding and accreditation

Research intensity is checked against FY2024 funded-project counts from the official NIH RePORTER API for 153 institutions, matched by exact registered organization name so look-alike institutions are not conflated.

LCME accreditation status was retrieved August 2, 2026 and verified school by school; the handful of MD programs holding anything other than full accreditation are labeled in the rankings. DO programs are accredited by COCA, not LCME, and are deliberately left unlabeled rather than defaulted to a status we could not verify.

How the estimate is computed

Your numbers are placed against each school's own published admitted range, adjusted for the residency math public schools disclose (in-state matriculant share), the school's stated mission emphasis, and, in the in-depth report, the depth of your experience hours, grade trend, MCAT balance and retakes, and application timing. Bands are derived from the resulting estimate so the label and the number can never disagree.

Every ranked row is computed in code from this data. The AI writes the narrative sections of the paid report; it does not write, and cannot alter, any number in the rankings.

What this cannot tell you

These are descriptive summaries of how applicants with numbers like yours fared historically, weighted by what schools say they value. They are not predictions of your outcome. Admissions committees read essays, letters, interviews and context this tool cannot see, and no estimate here has been calibrated against individual admission decisions. Treat every figure as a reference class, not a forecast.